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Complex amplitudes are decorative: a pre-registered falsification of the wave/quantum thesis for learning and cognition

Jun 27, 2026Negative resultsW. Schulz

Preprint draft, 2026-06-27. A negative-results + methodology paper. Every claim below is from a run-once, pre-registered experiment in this repository; the internal audit trail is RECKONING.md, synthesis-and-claims-register.md, and the per-track FINDINGS.md.

Abstract

A recurring idea holds that representing information as complex/wave amplitudes (Hilbert-space states, Born-rule readout, phase) buys something a real-valued vector cannot — non-forgetting continual learning, or a uniquely quantum account of human judgment. We built a numpy substrate for this thesis and tested it as a falsification machine: pre-register, run once, baseline at equal real-parameter budget, report failures. Across three domains — continual learning, cognition, and compositional binding — the complex/wave degree of freedom is load-bearing nowhere at equal budget. Continual learning comes from a decorrelating rule (a 1980s associative-memory result), not from phase; the famous "quantum cognition" order/conjunction effects need only real non-commutative projectors, not complex amplitudes; and holographic binding (FHRR) merely ties its real-valued counterpart (HRR) at matched budget. The idea's geometric intuition — isolate new knowledge in a stable representation — survives, but in real-valued form; phase was the wrong implementation of a right idea. We report the negative result in full and argue the methodology (equal-budget falsification) is the transferable contribution.

1. The thesis and the test

Thesis (Project B): information represented as normalized complex vectors, evolved by interference and attractor settling, yields (a) continual learning without catastrophic forgetting and (b) a substrate for human-like reasoning. Null: an equal-real-budget real-valued vector does as well. A complex vector of dimension D/2 carries the same real parameter count as a real vector of dimension D; all comparisons hold this fixed. Each experiment is pre-registered with a kill criterion and run once.

2. Continual learning — the phase degree of freedom does not help

ProbeResult
Capacity bake-off (holographic vs replay)Capacity is not the edge; a 32-slot replay buffer dominates a single holographic trace.
Phase stability–plasticity (static, structured data)Phase gives a representational separability gain only when data is directionally structured — and only statically.
Online Hebbian, real vs complex (equal budget)Phase headroom does not survive the shared-weight online rule; forgetting is catastrophic for both. "No backprop ≠ no forgetting."
Iterative self-training / model collapsePhase does not delay collapse — it collapses faster.
Natural directed co-occurrenceEven with strong measured asymmetry (A≈0.94), complex loses; real directionality is worse than random.

Mechanism (the real-valued lesson): Class-IL forgetting is, mechanically, recency bias in the shared classifier head; the large lever is a bias-free head (NCM: 0.195→0.634), not a fancier rule, more capacity, or smarter buffers. Stability comes from putting new knowledge in a fresh, isolated, sparse, or frozen region of a stable representation — representation isolation, which real orthogonal/sparse/ frozen subspaces deliver. The intuition behind the wave program was right; complex phase was the wrong implementation.

3. Cognition — real non-commutative projectors suffice

The substrate reproduces the canonical "quantum cognition" signatures — the Linda conjunction fallacy (p(F∧B) > p(B), 2.7×, robust over 200 seeds, switched on by projector incompatibility with an a=0 control that kills it), order effects, and QQ-equality. These are genuine and the substrate models them well. But the load-bearing ingredient is non-commutativity of measurement projectors, which is available to real-valued projectors; the complex amplitude adds nothing the effects require. The earlier belief that waves were load-bearing here (via Busemeyer's formalism) is superseded: it validates a reasoning model built on non-commuting real projectors, not the complex substrate, and not the learning thesis.

4. Binding — FHRR ties HRR at equal budget

Holographic compositional binding (role⊗filler, unbind, analogical inference) works — but the complex Fourier HRR (FHRR) ties the real-valued HRR at matched real budget. The binding algebra is real; the phase is bookkeeping.

5. What survives (and it isn't complex)

Three results survived adversarial, equal-budget scrutiny — and none rests on complex amplitudes:

  1. Test-time-compute dynamics — depth-vs-width-vs-verifier structure (Tunnel Vision, width-escapes) is a property of slow dynamics, not of phase. (Caveat: degrades on learned models; see the TTC thread.)
  2. The verifier exploitability bound — N*(ε), substrate-free, the project's most externally relevant result (separate paper).
  3. Photonic interconnect/energy — a hardware story about data residency, orthogonal to the learning thesis, and itself narrow and conditional.

6. The methodology is the contribution

The result was produced by a discipline, not a model: pre-register the prediction and a kill criterion; run once; baseline at equal budget; report failures and self-falsifications as first-class. Of ~26 probes across the project, the high-value bits were overwhelmingly negatives and self-falsifications — cheap to produce, and the actual product. A hyped idea (quantum/wave cognition and learning) was given its best equal-budget shot and found decorative. We argue this equal-budget falsification protocol is the transferable contribution, and that publishing the clean negative is worth more than another regime-hunt for a phase win.

7. Honest scope

This falsifies complex amplitudes as a load-bearing computational primitive for these tasks at equal budget on a CPU/numpy substrate. It does not speak to physical quantum computers, to optical hardware's energy story (a separate, narrow positive), or to whether phase helps at non-equal budgets (it can — but that is a different, weaker claim than the thesis made).

Leadership

A word from the scientists and engineers leading the mission — on why the brain is the blueprint, and why the next decade of intelligence will be built here.

"The brain is the universe's only proof that general intelligence is possible. We treat it as the blueprint."

From cortical interfaces to photonic silicon, every program at NeuroGenesys exists to answer one question: how does intelligence arise — and how do we build it safely.

Will Schulz

Will Schulz

Founder, NeuroGenesys • AW3 Technology